Commercial real estate finance company Walker & Dunlop (WD -1.93%) reported third-quarter earnings on Thursday, Nov. 7, that missed both top- and bottom-line analyst estimates. Q3 revenue of $292.3 million rose 9% year over year but it missed analyst expectations of $294.2 million. Earnings per share of $0.85 missed against the anticipated consensus estimate of $0.98, but it was a 33% increase in comparison to last year.
Despite falling short of expectations, Walker & Dunlop saw notable transaction volume growth, supported by strong multifamily lending activities. Overall, the quarter displayed positive momentum despite some unmet expectations.
| Metric | Q3 2024 | Analysts Estimate | Q3 2023 | Change (YOY) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $292.3 million | $294.2 million | $268.1 million | 9% |
| Diluted EPS | $0.85 | $0.98 | $0.64 | 33% |
| Transaction volume | $11.6 billion | N/A | $8.5 billion | 36% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $78.9 million | N/A | $74.1 million | 7% |
| Adjusted EPS | $1.19 | N/A | $1.11 | 7% |
Source: Walker & Dunlop. Note: Analyst consensus estimates for the quarter provided by FactSet. YOY = Year over year.
Overview of Walker & Dunlop
Walker & Dunlop is a key player in the real estate finance sector, offering a suite of services that span multifamily lending through government-sponsored enterprises, debt brokerage, and investment management. Its deep relationships with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bolster its competitive stance. Central to its success are its multifamily lending operations and expanding servicing portfolio, which provide a stable flow of fees. The firm's strategic growth leans heavily on multifamily lending, aiming for $60 billion in annual debt financing by 2025.
In recent times, Walker & Dunlop has been focusing on enhancing technological platforms like Apprise to streamline operations further. It aims to grow investment management, driving diversification through low-income housing tax credits and debt funds. The company’s strength lies in maintaining agency relationships while leveraging technology for operational efficiencies.
Quarterly Highlights
Walker & Dunlop's transaction volume jumped 36% year over year to $11.6 billion, primarily driven by a 26% growth in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac lending. That jump in transaction volume fueled Q3's increase in revenue, an indicator of the firm’s commanding presence in the multifamily lending market.
The company’s servicing portfolio expanded by 4% from the previous year, hitting a value of $134.1 billion. This growth was largely attributed to the addition of $1.3 billion in new loans. Non-cash mortgage servicing rights revenue took a hit, influencing overall income, yet adjusted EBITDA remained resilient with a 15% year-on-year jump to $80.9 million.
Nevertheless, investment management fees saw a downturn, dropping by 12%, even as assets under management climbed to $18.2 billion. This highlights Walker & Dunlop's strategic focus on diversifying its investment portfolio. Notably, despite EPS missing expectations, core EPS adjusted for non-cash revenues and credit provisions increased 26% to $1.23, emphasizing the continuing strength of core operations.
Externally, the fluctuating interest rates posed challenges that influenced the firm's performance. Notably, the real estate finance landscape has been under pressure due to market conditions, resulting in lower-than-expected returns and growth in certain segments.
Looking Forward
While m didn't offer specific forward guidance in its report, management has noted elsewhere that it anticipates positive momentum moving into the fourth quarter, powered by improving market conditions and the potential stabilization of interest rates. It anticipates headwinds related to the change in presidential administration, but it is leveraging existing strengths in technology and agency partnerships to navigate any challenges that might arise.
Future growth strategies are directed towards increasing transaction volumes and leveraging technological innovations like the Apprise platform. Walker & Dunlop aims to expand its multifamily lending and investment management segments while maintaining robust risk management practices. Investors are advised to watch the firm’s ability to deal with persistent interest rate movements and its strategic positioning in a competitive landscape.
