Breakfast News: ‘Super-Bullish’ On Stocks
December 18, 2024
S&P 500 6,051 (-0.39%) |
|
Nasdaq 20,109 (-0.32%) |
|
Dow 43,450 (-0.61%) |
|
Bitcoin $106,402 (+0.31%) |
1. Cash Keeps Flying Into Stocks
Markets have pulled back ahead of today’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision, but investors are still extremely confident in stocks compared to cash. A Bank of America (BAC 0.28%) fund manager survey found “the largest underweight position for currency compared with stocks since at least 2001.” BoA’s Michael Hartnett declared the data “shows super-bullish sentiment.”
- Three main indexes down: The Dow Jones is on a 9-day losing streak, its longest since 1978. But markets are still not far off their all-time records as investors await clues on the Fed’s plans for rate cuts in 2025.
- “I'm not chip supply constrained”: Microsoft (MSFT 0.52%) CEO Satya Nadella spoke of signs that AI chip shortages are easing late last week, adding to the cooldown as Microsoft is believed to be Nvidia’s (NVDA -0.02%) largest customer. Nvidia is down 15% since its peak, but still up 160% year to date.
2. Is Agentic AI the Next Big Thing?
Long-time Rule Breakers recommendation Salesforce (CRM 0.61%) revealed it’s notched up more than 1,000 deals for its “Agentforce” platform for building AI-based virtual agents. CEO Marc Benioff says the company’s technology has helped halve its own need for humans to handle customer queries.
- Robot force partner program: Benioff spoke of plans to link digital assistants with robotic labor, citing the hotel business as an example -- AI answering the phone, and robots cleaning rooms.
- “I think it's more than just bluster from the SaaS giant”: Amid all the continued talk from Benioff on the revolutionary impact of AI, Motley Fool CIO Andy Cross drew attention to the fact Agentforce was referenced an incredible 82 times on the Q3 conference call!
3. Hot Chocolate Leaves Buyers Cold
We might have to pay more for our chocolate and coffee in future, as the price of cocoa has rocketed this year. Cocoa futures hit a record high of $11,925 per tonne, nearly tripling since the start of the year. It’s all down to the weather in West Africa, which accounts for more than 70% of world production.
- “Prospects for the 2024/25 marketing year are looking better”: Warren Patterson at ING still sees further high – and volatile – prices.
- Highest prices since 1977: Coffee has been hit by the same conditions, and Rabobank’s Carlos Mera told CNBC we could be on for record prices.
4. What to Watch on Wednesday
Semiconductor memory and storage provider Micron Technology (MU -2.45%) will deliver Q1 results after today’s market close. It’s beaten earnings estimates for the previous four quarters, and investors will be looking to see if it can hit its $8.5-$8.9 billion revenue guidance.
- Morning results: Dividend Investor recommendation Toro (TTC 1.14%) will post an earnings update before the bell, as will General Mills (GIS 0.13%). The consumer goods giant has reported revenue declines this year.
- Dividend raised for 16 consecutive years: Fool analyst Matt Argersinger notes “It's been a challenging 18 months or so for Toro, which has seen consumers pull back their spending on big-ticket items like riding lawnmowers. Fortunately, the company's golf course and construction equipment businesses have held up better.”
5. Car Competition Heats Up
Nissan spiked up 24% this morning on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, after a report in the Nikkei newspaper claimed it’s in merger talks with Honda (HMC -1.09%) to tackle the global electric vehicle (EV) market.
- “Leveraging each other's strengths”: A Honda spokesperson told Business Insider the two are “exploring various possibilities.” Bloomberg suggests Mitsubishi could get in on the deal.
- Beating Tesla: Nissan’s first EV was launched as long ago as 2010, when Tesla (TSLA 0.15%) was still years away from today’s global success.
6. Foolish Fun
A friend turns to you and asks why you invest in the stock market. How do you respond? Become a member to hear what your fellow Fools are saying!